# How many House members will vote to impeach Pete Hegseth?: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "How many House members will vote to impeach Pete Hegseth?". Above 215 leads at 64%. Next is Above 210 at 64%. $1K has traded across 7 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Jan 3, 2027.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-07T22:51:03Z (10 min ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Jan 3, 2027
- Volume traded: $1K
- Venues: Kalshi
- Category: politics

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Kalshi |
| --- | --- | --- |
| Above 215 | 64% | 64% |
| Above 210 | 64% | 64% |
| Above 220 | 51% | 51% |
| Above 225 | 34% | 34% |
| Above 230 | 19% | 19% |
| Above 240 | 13% | 13% |
| Above 250 | 9% | 9% |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [Office of the Clerk of the U.S. House of Representatives](https://clerk.house.gov/Votes), [Library of Congress](https://www.congress.gov/).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/how-many-house-members-will-vote-to-impeach-pete-hegseth
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxhegsethimpeachvotes?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/how-many-house-members-will-vote-to-impeach-pete-hegseth

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.