# How many House seats will Democrats hold after the 2028 election?: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "How many House seats will Democrats hold after the 2028 election?". At least 205 leads at 98%. Next is At least 210 at 98%. $5K has traded across 18 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Feb 1, 2029.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-04T22:27:00Z (just now)
- Expected to resolve by: Feb 1, 2029
- Volume traded: $5K
- Venues: Kalshi
- Category: politics

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Kalshi |
| --- | --- | --- |
| At least 205 | 98% | 98% |
| At least 210 | 98% | 98% |
| At least 215 | 98% | 98% |
| At least 218 | 98% | 98% |
| At least 185 | 97.5% | 97.5% |
| At least 190 | 97.5% | 97.5% |
| At least 195 | 97.5% | 97.5% |
| At least 200 | 97.5% | 97.5% |
| At least 220 | 97% | 97% |
| At least 225 | 95% | 95% |
| At least 230 | 90% | 90% |
| At least 235 | 87% | 87% |
| At least 240 | 83% | 83% |
| At least 245 | 73% | 73% |
| At least 250 | 34% | 34% |
| At least 255 | 23% | 23% |
| At least 260 | 14% | 14% |
| At least 265 | 4.5% | 4.5% |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [United States Congress](https://www.congress.gov/).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/how-many-house-seats-will-democrats-hold-after-the-2028-election
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxhouseseatsd?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/how-many-house-seats-will-democrats-hold-after-the-2028-election

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.