# How many House seats will Republicans hold after the 2028 election?: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "How many House seats will Republicans hold after the 2028 election?". At least 175 leads at 95.5%. Next is At least 180 at 91.5%. $3K has traded across 18 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Feb 1, 2029.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-04T22:27:00Z (2 h ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Feb 1, 2029
- Volume traded: $3K
- Venues: Kalshi
- Category: politics

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Kalshi |
| --- | --- | --- |
| At least 175 | 95.5% | 95.5% |
| At least 180 | 91.5% | 91.5% |
| At least 185 | 90% | 90% |
| At least 190 | 73% | 73% |
| At least 195 | 57% | 57% |
| At least 200 | 41% | 41% |
| At least 205 | 35% | 35% |
| At least 210 | 33% | 33% |
| At least 215 | 26% | 26% |
| At least 218 | 18.5% | 18.5% |
| At least 220 | 15.5% | 15.5% |
| At least 225 | 12.5% | 12.5% |
| At least 230 | 9.5% | 9.5% |
| At least 235 | 6% | 6% |
| At least 240 | 5.5% | 5.5% |
| At least 245 | 5% | 5% |
| At least 250 | 4.5% | 4.5% |
| At least 255 | 4% | 4% |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [United States Congress](https://www.congress.gov/).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/how-many-house-seats-will-republicans-hold-after-the-2028-election
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxhouseseatsr?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/how-many-house-seats-will-republicans-hold-after-the-2028-election

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.