# How many Republican-favored Senate races will Republicans win?: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "How many Republican-favored Senate races will Republicans win?". At least 11 leads at 98%. Next is At least 12 at 97%. $3K has traded across 3 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Dec 15, 2026.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-04T23:53:00Z (1 min ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Dec 15, 2026
- Volume traded: $3K
- Venues: Kalshi
- Category: politics

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Kalshi |
| --- | --- | --- |
| At least 11 | 98% | 98% |
| At least 12 | 97% | 97% |
| All 13 | 2% | 2% |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [Associated Press](https://apnews.com/hub/election-2026).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/how-many-republican-favored-senate-races-will-republicans-win
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxgopfavsen?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/how-many-republican-favored-senate-races-will-republicans-win

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.