# How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the 2026 election? (Directional): prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the 2026 election? (Directional)". At least 46 leads at 99%. Next is At least 47 at 99%. $1.2M has traded across 13 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Feb 1, 2027.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-04T21:20:00Z (3 min ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Feb 1, 2027
- Volume traded: $1.2M
- Venues: Kalshi
- Category: politics

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Kalshi |
| --- | --- | --- |
| At least 46 | 99% | 99% |
| At least 47 | 99% | 99% |
| At least 48 | 99% | 99% |
| At least 49 | 99% | 99% |
| At least 50 | 99% | 99% |
| At least 51 | 99% | 99% |
| At least 52 | 99% | 99% |
| At least 53 | 98% | 98% |
| At least 54 | 98% | 98% |
| At least 55 | 97% | 97% |
| At least 56 | 83% | 83% |
| At least 57 | 1% | 1% |
| At least 58 | 1% | 1% |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [United States Congress](https://www.congress.gov/).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/how-many-senate-seats-will-democrats-hold-after-the-2026-election-directional
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxsenateseatsd?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/how-many-senate-seats-will-democrats-hold-after-the-2026-election-directional

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.