# How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the 2028 election?: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the 2028 election?". At least 42 leads at 97.5%. Next is At least 44 at 96%. $28K has traded across 15 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Feb 1, 2029.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-04T22:25:00Z (2 h ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Feb 1, 2029
- Volume traded: $28K
- Venues: Kalshi
- Category: politics

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Kalshi |
| --- | --- | --- |
| At least 42 | 97.5% | 97.5% |
| At least 44 | 96% | 96% |
| At least 48 | 96% | 96% |
| At least 46 | 95.5% | 95.5% |
| At least 47 | 95% | 95% |
| At least 49 | 91.5% | 91.5% |
| At least 50 | 87% | 87% |
| At least 51 | 81% | 81% |
| At least 54 | 81% | 81% |
| At least 52 | 79% | 79% |
| At least 53 | 76% | 76% |
| At least 55 | 75% | 75% |
| At least 56 | 70% | 70% |
| At least 58 | 41% | 41% |
| At least 60 | 20.5% | 20.5% |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [United States Congress](https://www.congress.gov/).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/how-many-senate-seats-will-democrats-hold-after-the-2028-election
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxsenateseatsd?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/how-many-senate-seats-will-democrats-hold-after-the-2028-election

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.