# How many Texas counties will James Talarico win in 2026?: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "How many Texas counties will James Talarico win in 2026?". At least 20 leads at 99%. Next is At least 38 at 97%. $1K has traded across 13 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Dec 7, 2026.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-04T22:20:00Z (4 min ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Dec 7, 2026
- Volume traded: $1K
- Venues: Kalshi
- Category: other

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Kalshi |
| --- | --- | --- |
| At least 20 | 99% | 99% |
| At least 38 | 97% | 97% |
| At least 22 | 94.5% | 94.5% |
| At least 24 | 91% | 91% |
| At least 32 | 88.5% | 88.5% |
| At least 36 | 88.5% | 88.5% |
| At least 26 | 85% | 85% |
| At least 28 | 80% | 80% |
| At least 30 | 80% | 80% |
| At least 34 | 80% | 80% |
| At least 40 | 49.5% | 49.5% |
| At least 42 | 49% | 49% |
| At least 44 | 15% | 15% |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [Texas Secretary of State](https://www.sos.texas.gov/elections/historical/index.shtml).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/how-many-texas-counties-will-james-talarico-win-in-2026
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtalaricocounties?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/how-many-texas-counties-will-james-talarico-win-in-2026

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.