# How many times will Trump visit Mar-a-Lago in Nov 2026?: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "How many times will Trump visit Mar-a-Lago in Nov 2026?". 4 leads at 49.1%. Next is 3 at 23.6%. $5K has traded across 6 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Dec 1, 2026.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-04T21:22:00Z (3 h ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Dec 1, 2026
- Volume traded: $5K
- Venues: Kalshi
- Category: politics

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Kalshi |
| --- | --- | --- |
| 4 | 49.1% | 52% |
| 3 | 23.6% | 25% |
| 5 or more | 16% | 17% |
| 2 | 7.6% | 8% |
| 1 | 2.8% | 3% |
| 0 | 0.9% | 1% |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume, with each venue's margin removed so outcomes add to 100%. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [official schedules of the President](https://www.whitehouse.gov/briefings-statements/), [releases and public statements of White House](https://www.whitehouse.gov/briefing-room/statements-releases/), [Fox News](https://www.foxnews.com/).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/how-many-times-will-trump-visit-mar-a-lago-in-nov-2026
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxlagovisitcount?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/how-many-times-will-trump-visit-mar-a-lago-in-nov-2026

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.