# How many Trump vetoes overridden by December 31, 2027?: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "How many Trump vetoes overridden by December 31, 2027?". 0 leads at 38.5%. Next is 1 at 29.6%. $2K has traded across 4 outcomes on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Jan 1, 2028.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-09T15:43:20Z (12 min ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Jan 1, 2028
- Volume traded: $2K
- Venues: Polymarket
- Category: politics

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Polymarket |
| --- | --- | --- |
| 0 | 38.5% | 41% |
| 1 | 29.6% | 31.5% |
| 3+ | 20.2% | 21.5% |
| 2 | 11.7% | 12.5% |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume, with each venue's margin removed so outcomes add to 100%. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Polymarket: UMA optimistic oracle.

## Settlement rules

This market will resolve according to the exact number of Donald Trump's vetoes that Congress overrides between market creation and December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.

A veto will be considered overridden once both the House of Representatives and the Senate pass the vetoed bill or joint resolution by the two-thirds vote required under Article I, Section 7 of the U.S. Constitution. An override will be considered to have occurred on the date the second chamber completes its vote, regardless of when the veto was issued. An override vote by only one chamber will not qualify.

Each overridden bill or joint resolution counts as one override.

The primary resolution sources for this market will be official congressional voting records, including Congress.gov; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/how-many-trump-vetoes-overridden-by-december-31-2027
- Trade on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/how-many-trump-vetoes-overridden-by-december-31-2027?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/how-many-trump-vetoes-overridden-by-december-31-2027

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.
