# How many vulnerabilities will CISA add to the KEV catalog in Nov 2026?: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "How many vulnerabilities will CISA add to the KEV catalog in Nov 2026?". At least 10 leads at 98%. Next is At least 15 at 93%. $1K has traded across 9 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Dec 1, 2026.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-04T21:21:00Z (1 h ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Dec 1, 2026
- Volume traded: $1K
- Venues: Kalshi
- Category: politics

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Kalshi |
| --- | --- | --- |
| At least 10 | 98% | 98% |
| At least 15 | 93% | 93% |
| At least 20 | 82% | 82% |
| At least 25 | 62% | 62% |
| At least 30 | 45% | 45% |
| At least 35 | 27.5% | 27.5% |
| At least 40 | 15% | 15% |
| At least 45 | 10.5% | 10.5% |
| At least 50 | 7% | 7% |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [the CISA Known Exploited Vulnerabilities Catalog](https://www.cisa.gov/known-exploited-vulnerabilities-catalog).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/how-many-vulnerabilities-will-cisa-add-to-the-kev-catalog-in-nov-2026
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxkevcount?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/how-many-vulnerabilities-will-cisa-add-to-the-kev-catalog-in-nov-2026

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.