# How much will Anthropic raise in its IPO?: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "How much will Anthropic raise in its IPO?". 85B to $95B leads at 32.1%. Next is 95B to $105B at 31.9%. $145K has traded across 9 outcomes on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Jan 1, 2028.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-04T20:00:00Z (1 h ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Jan 1, 2028
- Volume traded: $145K
- Venues: Polymarket
- Category: ai_tech

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Polymarket |
| --- | --- | --- |
| 85B to $95B | 32.1% | 33% |
| 95B to $105B | 31.9% | 32.9% |
| 75B to $85B | 23.9% | 24.6% |
| 65B to $75B | 4.2% | 4.3% |
| 105B to $115B | 2.6% | 2.7% |
| 115B to $125B | 2.1% | 2.2% |
| 65B | 1.9% | 2% |
| 135B+ | 1% | 1% |
| 125B to $135B | 0.3% | 0.4% |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume, with each venue's margin removed so outcomes add to 100%. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Polymarket: UMA optimistic oracle.

## Settlement rules

This market will resolve according to the total gross proceeds raised by Anthropic in its initial public offering (IPO) at the time of pricing.

The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.

Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.

Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered. Shares sold in any private placement concurrent with the IPO will not be considered.

If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.

If Anthropic does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/how-much-will-anthropic-raise-in-its-ipo
- Trade on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/how-much-will-anthropic-raise-in-its-ipo?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/how-much-will-anthropic-raise-in-its-ipo

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.