# Hurricane Pena category?: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "Hurricane Pena category?". Category 1 or above leads at 1%. Next is Category 2 or above at 1%. $1K has traded across 5 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Dec 2, 2026.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-13T06:40:40Z (16 min ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Dec 2, 2026
- Volume traded: $1K
- Venues: Kalshi
- Category: climate

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Kalshi |
| --- | --- | --- |
| Category 1 or above | 1% | 1% |
| Category 2 or above | 1% | 1% |
| Category 3 or above | 1% | 1% |
| Category 4 or above | 1% | 1% |
| Category 5 or above | 1% | 1% |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration](https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/), [The Weather Company](https://www.weathercompany.com/).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/hurricane-pena-category
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxhurcat?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/hurricane-pena-category

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.