# Idaho Republican Senate nominee? (2028): prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "Idaho Republican Senate nominee? (2028)". Mike Crapo leads at 53.7%. Next is Raul Labrador at 10.6%. $2K has traded across 9 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 7, 2028.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-15T05:19:41Z (15 min ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Nov 7, 2028
- Volume traded: $2K
- Venues: Kalshi
- Category: politics

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Kalshi |
| --- | --- | --- |
| Mike Crapo | 53.7% | 58% |
| Raul Labrador | 10.6% | 11.4% |
| Russ Fulcher | 7.6% | 8.2% |
| Brad Little | 6.3% | 6.8% |
| Mark Fitzpatrick | 6% | 6.5% |
| Janice McGeachin | 4.4% | 4.8% |
| Scott Bedke | 4% | 4.4% |
| Phil McGrane | 3.8% | 4.1% |
| Mike Simpson | 3.6% | 3.9% |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume, with each venue's margin removed so outcomes add to 100%. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [Idaho Republican Party](https://idgop.org/), [Associated Press](https://apnews.com), [Decision Desk HQ](https://decisiondeskhq.com/results/).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/idaho-republican-senate-nominee-2028
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxsenatenom?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/idaho-republican-senate-nominee-2028

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.