# IEM Beijing 2026: Winner: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "IEM Beijing 2026: Winner". MOUZ leads at 39.6%. Next is Natus Vincere at 22.8%. $22K has traded across 6 outcomes on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 10, 2026.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-05T00:11:00Z (1 min ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Nov 10, 2026
- Volume traded: $22K
- Venues: Polymarket
- Category: other

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Polymarket |
| --- | --- | --- |
| MOUZ | 39.6% | 40% |
| Natus Vincere | 22.8% | 23% |
| FURIA | 17.8% | 18% |
| The MongolZ | 8.5% | 8.6% |
| BetBoom | 5.9% | 6% |
| PARIVISION | 5.4% | 5.5% |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume, with each venue's margin removed so outcomes add to 100%. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Polymarket: UMA optimistic oracle. Sources: [hltv.org](https://www.hltv.org/events/8245/iem-beijing-2026).

## Settlement rules

This market will resolve according to the winner of IEM Beijing 2026, currently scheduled for November 2, 2026 to November 8, 2026.

If this tournament is postponed after December 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other."

If multiple teams are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically.

The resolution source for this market will be HLTV (https://www.hltv.org/events/8245/iem-beijing-2026); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/iem-beijing-2026-winner
- Trade on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/iem-beijing-2026-winner-1793635200000?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/iem-beijing-2026-winner

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.