# IL-04 House election: Patty Garcia vote percent: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "IL-04 House election: Patty Garcia vote percent". At least 54% leads at 98.5%. Next is At least 56% at 98%. $5K has traded across 12 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 3, 2027.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-04T21:22:00Z (1 h ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Nov 3, 2027
- Volume traded: $5K
- Venues: Kalshi
- Category: politics

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Kalshi |
| --- | --- | --- |
| At least 54% | 98.5% | 98.5% |
| At least 56% | 98% | 98% |
| At least 58% | 97% | 97% |
| At least 60% | 95% | 95% |
| At least 62% | 94% | 94% |
| At least 64% | 92% | 92% |
| At least 68% | 71.5% | 71.5% |
| At least 66% | 71% | 71% |
| At least 70% | 67.5% | 67.5% |
| At least 72% | 17% | 17% |
| At least 74% | 6% | 6% |
| At least 76% | 1.5% | 1.5% |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [Illinois State Board of Elections, Springfield, IL](https://www.elections.il.gov/).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/il-04-house-election-patty-garcia-vote-percent
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvotegeneral?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/il-04-house-election-patty-garcia-vote-percent

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.