# Iran nuclear deal × WTI at end of 2027: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "Iran nuclear deal × WTI at end of 2027". Iran deal: Not agreed, WTI: $75 to $89.99 leads at 52.3%. Next is Iran deal: Not agreed, WTI: $75 to $89.99 at 20.8%. $1K has traded across 8 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Dec 31, 2027.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-15T05:23:41Z (12 min ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Dec 31, 2027
- Volume traded: $1K
- Venues: Kalshi
- Category: politics

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Kalshi |
| --- | --- | --- |
| Iran deal: Not agreed, WTI: $75 to $89.99 | 52.3% | 63% |
| Iran deal: Not agreed, WTI: $75 to $89.99 | 20.8% | 25% |
| Iran deal: Not agreed, WTI: $75 to $89.99 | 10% | 12% |
| Iran deal: Not agreed, WTI: $75 to $89.99 | 5% | 6% |
| Iran deal: Not agreed, WTI: $75 to $89.99 | 4.9% | 5.9% |
| Iran deal: Not agreed, WTI: $75 to $89.99 | 3.6% | 4.4% |
| Iran deal: Not agreed, WTI: $75 to $89.99 | 1.7% | 2.1% |
| Iran deal: Not agreed, WTI: $75 to $89.99 | 1.7% | 2% |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume, with each venue's margin removed so outcomes add to 100%. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [ICE](https://www.theice.com/index), [The New York Times](https://www.nytimes.com/), [the Associated Press](https://apnews.com/).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/iran-nuclear-deal-wti-at-end-of-2027
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxiranwticombo?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/iran-nuclear-deal-wti-at-end-of-2027

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.