# Italy vs France: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "Italy vs France". France leads at 53%. Next is Tie at 27%. $31K has traded across 40 outcomes on Polymarket and Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 14, 2026.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-04T20:04:00Z (1 h ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Nov 14, 2026
- Volume traded: $31K
- Venues: Polymarket, Kalshi
- Category: sports

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Polymarket | Kalshi | Gap between venues |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| France | 53% | — | 53% | not on both |
| Tie | 27% | — | 27% | not on both |
| Italy 0 - 3 France | 25% | 25% | — | not on both |
| Italy 0 - 4 France | 25% | 25% | — | not on both |
| Italy 0 - 5 France | 25% | 25% | — | not on both |
| Italy 1 - 4 France | 25% | 25% | — | not on both |
| Italy 1 - 5 France | 25% | 25% | — | not on both |
| Italy 2 - 0 France | 25% | 25% | — | not on both |
| Italy 2 - 4 France | 25% | 25% | — | not on both |
| Italy 2 - 5 France | 25% | 25% | — | not on both |
| Italy 3 - 0 France | 25% | 25% | — | not on both |
| Italy 3 - 1 France | 25% | 25% | — | not on both |
| Italy 3 - 5 France | 25% | 25% | — | not on both |
| Italy 4 - 0 France | 25% | 25% | — | not on both |
| Italy 4 - 1 France | 25% | 25% | — | not on both |
| Italy 4 - 2 France | 25% | 25% | — | not on both |
| Italy 4 - 3 France | 25% | 25% | — | not on both |
| Italy 5 - 0 France | 25% | 25% | — | not on both |
| Italy 5 - 1 France | 25% | 25% | — | not on both |
| Italy 5 - 2 France | 25% | 25% | — | not on both |
| Italy 5 - 3 France | 25% | 25% | — | not on both |
| Italy 5 - 4 France | 25% | 25% | — | not on both |
| Italy 5 - 5 France | 25% | 25% | — | not on both |
| Italy 3 - 4 France | 23.5% | 23.5% | — | not on both |
| Italy | 23% | — | 23% | not on both |
| Italy 2 - 3 France | 22.5% | 22.5% | — | not on both |
| Any Other Score | 17.5% | 17.5% | — | not on both |
| Italy 4 - 4 France | 16% | 16% | — | not on both |
| Italy 3 - 3 France | 15% | 15% | — | not on both |
| Italy 4 - 5 France | 13.5% | 13.5% | — | not on both |
| Italy 3 - 2 France | 13% | 13% | — | not on both |
| Italy 1 - 1 France | 11.5% | 11.5% | — | not on both |
| Italy 1 - 2 France | 9.5% | 9.5% | — | not on both |
| Italy 0 - 1 France | 9% | 9% | — | not on both |
| Italy 0 - 2 France | 7% | 7% | — | not on both |
| Italy 0 - 0 France | 5% | 5% | — | not on both |
| Italy 1 - 0 France | 5% | 5% | — | not on both |
| Italy 2 - 1 France | 5% | 5% | — | not on both |
| Italy 2 - 2 France | 5% | 5% | — | not on both |
| Italy 1 - 3 France | 4.4% | 4.4% | — | not on both |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Polymarket: UMA optimistic oracle. Sources: [uefa.com](https://www.uefa.com/uefanationsleague/).
- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [ESPN](https://www.espn.com/), [Fox Sports](https://www.foxsports.com/).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/italy-vs-france
- Trade on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/unl-ita-fra-2026-11-12-exact-score?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxuefanlgame?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/italy-vs-france

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.