# Jean-Michel Basquiat's “Untitled (Leonardo and His Five Grotesque Heads)” Sale Price: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "Jean-Michel Basquiat's “Untitled (Leonardo and His Five Grotesque Heads)” Sale Price". 40m-$50m leads at 34.9%. Next is 30m-$40m at 31%. $1K has traded across 5 outcomes on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 20, 2026.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-07T22:53:03Z (8 min ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Nov 20, 2026
- Volume traded: $1K
- Venues: Polymarket
- Category: other

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Polymarket |
| --- | --- | --- |
| 40m-$50m | 34.9% | 45% |
| 30m-$40m | 31% | 40% |
| 50m-$60m | 14.7% | 19% |
| 60m+ | 14.4% | 18.5% |
| 30m | 5% | 6.5% |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume, with each venue's margin removed so outcomes add to 100%. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Polymarket: UMA optimistic oracle.

## Settlement rules

Jean-Michel Basquiat's “Untitled (Leonardo and His Five Grotesque Heads)” (Lot 34B) is expected to be sold at Christie's 21st Century Evening Sale on November 19, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the final auction sale price paid for Jean-Michel Basquiat's “Untitled (Leonardo and His Five Grotesque Heads)”. If the final sale price falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If no sale is completed, or the sale price is not known definitively, by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "<$30m".

The market will resolve according to the final listed “Price Realised” on Christie's (https://www.christies.com/en/lot/lot-6614158).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/jean-michel-basquiats-untitled-leonardo-and-his-five-grotesque-heads-sale-price
- Trade on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/basquiat-untitled-leonardo-and-his-five-grotesque-heads-sale-price?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/jean-michel-basquiats-untitled-leonardo-and-his-five-grotesque-heads-sale-price

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.