# Jensen Huang rejoins NVIDIA by...?: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "Jensen Huang rejoins NVIDIA by...?". December 31, 2027 leads at 16.5%. Next is SpaceX / xAI at 8%. $163K has traded across 14 outcomes on Kalshi and Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Dec 1, 2026.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-13T02:50:40Z (10 min ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Dec 1, 2026
- Volume traded: $163K
- Venues: Polymarket, Kalshi
- Category: ai_tech

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Polymarket | Kalshi | Gap between venues |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| December 31, 2027 | 16.5% | 16.5% | — | not on both |
| SpaceX / xAI | 8% | — | 8% | not on both |
| AMD | 3% | — | 3% | not on both |
| Intel | 3% | — | 3% | not on both |
| Oracle | 3% | — | 3% | not on both |
| SoftBank | 3% | — | 3% | not on both |
| Tesla | 3% | — | 3% | not on both |
| TSMC | 3% | — | 3% | not on both |
| December 31, 2026 | 2.7% | 2.7% | — | not on both |
| Apple | 2% | — | 2% | not on both |
| OpenAI | 2% | — | 2% | not on both |
| November 30, 2026 | 1.8% | 1.8% | — | not on both |
| Meta | 1% | — | 1% | not on both |
| Microsoft | 1% | — | 1% | not on both |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Polymarket: UMA optimistic oracle.
- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [Nvidia newsroom](https://nvidianews.nvidia.com/), [AMD newsroom](https://www.amd.com/en/newsroom.html), [Tesla official website](https://www.tesla.com/).

## Settlement rules

On November 12, 2026, NVIDIA announced that Jensen Huang had resigned as its President, Chief Executive Officer, and a member of its Board of Directors, effective immediately.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jensen Huang is officially announced as accepting or beginning a formal role within the corporate or governance structure of NVIDIA between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

Qualifying roles include employment, executive, officer, director, formal advisory, or governance positions at NVIDIA, including on an interim or acting basis and membership in a body formally responsible for governing or overseeing the company. A role within a subsidiary or controlled entity of NVIDIA will also qualify.

Merely holding or trading NVIDIA shares, voting as a shareholder, entering into a commercial or research partnership with NVIDIA, informally advising, appearing at NVIDIA events, or receiving an honorary or emeritus title will not qualify unless Jensen Huang also accepts or begins a formal role within NVIDIA’s corporate or governance structure.

An official announcement that Jensen Huang has accepted a qualifying role will be sufficient, regardless of when he formally begins serving in that role.

The primary resolution source will be official information from NVIDIA (including its filings with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission) or Jensen Huang; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/jensen-huang-rejoins-nvidia-by
- Trade on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/jensen-huang-rejoins-nvidia-byptptpt?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxjoinjensenhuang?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/jensen-huang-rejoins-nvidia-by

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.