# Jim Miller vs. Terrance McKinney: Round of Victory: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "Jim Miller vs. Terrance McKinney: Round of Victory". Ends before Round 3? leads at 88.5%. Next is Ends before Round 2? at 70%. $7K has traded across 26 outcomes on Polymarket and Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 29, 2026.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-12T22:48:25Z (13 min ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Nov 29, 2026
- Volume traded: $7K
- Venues: Polymarket, Kalshi
- Category: sports

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Polymarket | Kalshi | Gap between venues |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Ends before Round 3? | 88.5% | 88.5% | — | not on both |
| Ends before Round 2? | 70% | 70% | — | not on both |
| O/U 0.5 Rounds | 57% | 57% | — | not on both |
| Terrance McKinney to win in Round 1 | 56% | — | 56% | not on both |
| Fight won by KO/TKO? | 49.5% | 49.5% | — | not on both |
| McKinney in Round 1 | 49.5% | 49.5% | — | not on both |
| Fight won by submission? | 42.5% | 42.5% | — | not on both |
| McKinney to win by KO/TKO? | 42% | 42% | — | not on both |
| Jim Miller vs. Terrance McKinney | 33.5% | 33.5% | — | not on both |
| Miller in Round 1 | 32% | 32% | — | not on both |
| McKinney in Round 2 | 28% | 28% | — | not on both |
| Miller to win by KO/TKO? | 28% | 28% | — | not on both |
| Decision or Draw | 27% | 27% | — | not on both |
| Fight won by decision? | 27% | 27% | — | not on both |
| Miller in Round 2 | 27% | 27% | — | not on both |
| McKinney in Round 3 | 26.5% | 26.5% | — | not on both |
| Miller in Round 3 | 26.5% | 26.5% | — | not on both |
| O/U 2.5 Rounds | 26.5% | 26.5% | — | not on both |
| Jim Miller to win in Round 1 | 22% | — | 22% | not on both |
| O/U 1.5 Rounds | 22% | 22% | — | not on both |
| Jim Miller to win in Round 2 | 12% | — | 12% | not on both |
| Terrance McKinney to win in Round 2 | 11% | — | 11% | not on both |
| Decision / Draw / No Contest | 8% | — | 8% | not on both |
| Fight to Go the Distance? | 8% | 8% | — | not on both |
| Terrance McKinney to win in Round 3 | 1% | — | 1% | not on both |
| Jim Miller to win in Round 3 | 0.5% | — | 0.5% | not on both |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Polymarket: UMA optimistic oracle. Sources: [ufc.com](https://www.ufc.com/events).
- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [ESPN](https://www.espn.com), [Fox Sports](https://www.foxsports.com), [Paramount+](https://www.paramountplus.com/home/).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/jim-miller-vs-terrance-mckinney-round-of-victory
- Trade on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/ufc-jim2-ter1-2026-11-14?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxufcvicround?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/jim-miller-vs-terrance-mckinney-round-of-victory

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.