# Kansas Republican Senate nominee? (2028): prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "Kansas Republican Senate nominee? (2028)". Jerry Moran leads at 79.9%. Next is Tracey Mann at 5.7%. $10K has traded across 10 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 7, 2028.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-11T18:48:05Z (1 d ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Nov 7, 2028
- Volume traded: $10K
- Venues: Kalshi
- Category: politics

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Kalshi |
| --- | --- | --- |
| Jerry Moran | 79.9% | 82% |
| Tracey Mann | 5.7% | 5.8% |
| Ty Masterson | 4.1% | 4.2% |
| Derek Schmidt | 3.1% | 3.2% |
| Kris Kobach | 2.8% | 2.9% |
| Philip Sarnecki | 2.1% | 2.2% |
| Roger Marshall | 1.1% | 1.1% |
| Ron Estes | 1% | 1% |
| Scott Schwab | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Vicki Schmidt | 0.1% | 0.1% |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume, with each venue's margin removed so outcomes add to 100%. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [Kansas Republican Party](https://kansasgop.com/), [Associated Press](https://apnews.com), [Decision Desk HQ](https://decisiondeskhq.com/results/).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/kansas-republican-senate-nominee-2028
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxsenatenom?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/kansas-republican-senate-nominee-2028

---
Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.