# Kansas Senate: margin of victory: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "Kansas Senate: margin of victory". Adam Hamilton, 4-6% leads at 95%. Next is Adam Hamilton, 6-8% at 2%. $94K has traded across 5 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 3, 2027.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-04T22:14:00Z (3 min ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Nov 3, 2027
- Volume traded: $94K
- Venues: Kalshi
- Category: politics

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Kalshi |
| --- | --- | --- |
| Adam Hamilton, 4-6% | 95% | 95% |
| Adam Hamilton, 6-8% | 2% | 2% |
| Adam Hamilton, ≥8% | 1% | 1% |
| Adam Hamilton, 0-2% | 1% | 1% |
| Adam Hamilton, 2-4% | 1% | 1% |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume, with each venue's margin removed so outcomes add to 100%. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [Kansas Secretary of State](https://sos.ks.gov).

## Settlement rules

Kalshi event status: open

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/kansas-senate-margin-of-victory-2
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxgeneralmov?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/kansas-senate-margin-of-victory-2

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.