# Kayla Harrison vs Amanda Nunes: Method of Victory: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "Kayla Harrison vs Amanda Nunes: Method of Victory". O/U 0.5 Rounds leads at 72.5%. Next is O/U 1.5 Rounds at 63.5%. $64K has traded across 34 outcomes on Polymarket and Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 29, 2026.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-13T07:11:40Z (8 min ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Nov 29, 2026
- Volume traded: $64K
- Venues: Polymarket, Kalshi
- Category: sports

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Polymarket | Kalshi | Gap between venues |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| O/U 0.5 Rounds | 72.5% | 72.5% | — | not on both |
| O/U 1.5 Rounds | 63.5% | 63.5% | — | not on both |
| Ends before Round 5? | 58% | 58% | — | not on both |
| O/U 2.5 Rounds | 56.5% | 56.5% | — | not on both |
| Ends before Round 4? | 49% | 49% | — | not on both |
| O/U 3.5 Rounds | 49% | 49% | — | not on both |
| O/U 4.5 Rounds | 41% | 41% | — | not on both |
| Decision or Draw | 39% | 39% | — | not on both |
| Amanda Nunes vs. Kayla Harrison | 38.5% | 38.5% | — | not on both |
| Fight won by submission? | 38.5% | 38.5% | — | not on both |
| Fight won by decision? | 38% | 38% | — | not on both |
| Fight won by KO/TKO? | 37.5% | 37.5% | — | not on both |
| Ends before Round 3? | 36% | 36% | — | not on both |
| Fight to Go the Distance? | 33.5% | 33.5% | — | not on both |
| Nunes to win by KO/TKO? | 32.5% | 32.5% | — | not on both |
| Kayla Harrison by Submission | 31% | — | 31% | not on both |
| Harrison in Round 1 | 28.5% | 28.5% | — | not on both |
| Harrison in Round 2 | 27.5% | 27.5% | — | not on both |
| Harrison to win by KO/TKO? | 27% | 27% | — | not on both |
| Harrison in Round 3 | 26.5% | 26.5% | — | not on both |
| Harrison in Round 4 | 26.5% | 26.5% | — | not on both |
| Harrison in Round 5 | 26.5% | 26.5% | — | not on both |
| Nunes in Round 1 | 26.5% | 26.5% | — | not on both |
| Nunes in Round 2 | 26.5% | 26.5% | — | not on both |
| Nunes in Round 3 | 26.5% | 26.5% | — | not on both |
| Nunes in Round 4 | 26.5% | 26.5% | — | not on both |
| Nunes in Round 5 | 26.5% | 26.5% | — | not on both |
| Amanda Nunes by KO/TKO/DQ | 23% | — | 23% | not on both |
| Kayla Harrison by Decision | 22% | — | 22% | not on both |
| Ends before Round 2? | 18.5% | 18.5% | — | not on both |
| Amanda Nunes by Decision | 14% | — | 14% | not on both |
| Kayla Harrison by KO/TKO/DQ | 9% | — | 9% | not on both |
| Amanda Nunes by Submission | 4% | — | 4% | not on both |
| Draw/No Contest | 2% | — | 2% | not on both |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Polymarket: UMA optimistic oracle. Sources: [ufc.com](https://www.ufc.com/events).
- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [ESPN](https://www.espn.com), [Fox Sports](https://www.foxsports.com), [Paramount+](https://www.paramountplus.com/home/).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/kayla-harrison-vs-amanda-nunes-method-of-victory
- Trade on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/ufc-ama1-kay4-2026-11-14?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxufcmov?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/kayla-harrison-vs-amanda-nunes-method-of-victory

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.