# Kentucky Republican Governor nominee?: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "Kentucky Republican Governor nominee?". James Comer leads at 74.6%. Next is Thomas Massie at 5.2%. $11K has traded across 8 outcomes on Polymarket and Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by May 17, 2028.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-03T08:49:21Z (just now)
- Expected to resolve by: May 17, 2028
- Volume traded: $11K
- Venues: Polymarket, Kalshi
- Category: politics

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Polymarket | Kalshi | Gap between venues |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| James Comer | 74.6% | 81.5% | 86% | 4.5 pts |
| Thomas Massie | 5.2% | 7.5% | 4% | 3.5 pts |
| Rick Hardin | 4.8% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 1.9 pts |
| Savannah Maddox | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4% | 1.3 pts |
| Nate Morris | 3.4% | 3.8% | — | not on both |
| Daniel Cameron | 2.7% | 1.6% | 4.5% | 2.9 pts |
| Brett St. Amand | 2.6% | 2.9% | — | not on both |
| Charles "Bruiser" Martin | 2.5% | 1.6% | 4% | 2.4 pts |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume, with each venue's margin removed so outcomes add to 100%. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Polymarket: UMA optimistic oracle.
- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [Kentucky State Board of Elections](https://elect.ky.gov).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/kentucky-republican-governor-nominee
- Trade on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/kentucky-governor-republican-primary-winner-2027?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxgovkynomr?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/kentucky-republican-governor-nominee

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.