# Kentucky Senate General Election: voter turnout: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "Kentucky Senate General Election: voter turnout". Above 1.27M leads at 99%. Next is Above 1.34M at 99%. $27K has traded across 18 outcomes on Polymarket and Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 3, 2027.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-04T21:16:00Z (2 min ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Nov 3, 2027
- Volume traded: $27K
- Venues: Polymarket, Kalshi
- Category: politics

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Polymarket | Kalshi | Gap between venues |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Above 1.27M | 99% | — | 99% | not on both |
| Above 1.34M | 99% | — | 99% | not on both |
| Above 1.41M | 92% | — | 92% | not on both |
| Above 1.55M | 60% | — | 60% | not on both |
| 1.4M-1.5M | 47.5% | 47.5% | — | not on both |
| Above 1.91M | 47.5% | — | 47.5% | not on both |
| Above 1.77M | 25% | — | 25% | not on both |
| 1.8M+ | 17.6% | 17.6% | — | not on both |
| 1.7M-1.8M | 10.8% | 10.8% | — | not on both |
| Above 1.84M | 7% | — | 7% | not on both |
| Above 1.48M | 6% | — | 6% | not on both |
| Above 1.70M | 5% | — | 5% | not on both |
| Above 1.63M | 3% | — | 3% | not on both |
| 1.3M-1.4M | 2% | 2% | — | not on both |
| 1.6M-1.7M | 1.1% | 1.1% | — | not on both |
| 1.5M-1.6M | 1% | 1% | — | not on both |
| 1.2M-1.3M | 0.5% | 0.5% | — | not on both |
| 1.2M | 0.4% | 0.4% | — | not on both |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Polymarket: UMA optimistic oracle.
- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [Kentucky State Board of Elections](https://elect.ky.gov).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/kentucky-senate-general-election-voter-turnout
- Trade on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/kentucky-senate-election-turnout?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmidtermvoteturn?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/kentucky-senate-general-election-voter-turnout

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.