# Khamenei # posts November 6 - November 13, 2026?: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "Khamenei # posts November 6 - November 13, 2026?". 5 leads at 61.8%. Next is 5-9 at 11.4%. $1K has traded across 13 outcomes on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 13, 2026.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-04T21:59:00Z (5 min ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Nov 13, 2026
- Volume traded: $1K
- Venues: Polymarket
- Category: politics

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Polymarket |
| --- | --- | --- |
| 5 | 61.8% | 78.5% |
| 5-9 | 11.4% | 14.5% |
| 20-24 | 3.3% | 4.2% |
| 55-59 | 2.8% | 3.5% |
| 25-29 | 2.7% | 3.4% |
| 40-44 | 2.7% | 3.5% |
| 45-49 | 2.7% | 3.5% |
| 50-54 | 2.7% | 3.5% |
| 60+ | 2.7% | 3.5% |
| 35-39 | 2.6% | 3.4% |
| 30-34 | 1.8% | 2.3% |
| 10-14 | 1.4% | 1.8% |
| 15-19 | 1.4% | 1.8% |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume, with each venue's margin removed so outcomes add to 100%. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Polymarket: UMA optimistic oracle. Sources: [x.com](https://x.com/khamenei_ir).

## Settlement rules

This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between November 6, 12:00 PM ET and November 13, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/khamenei-posts-november-6-november-13-2026
- Trade on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/khamenei-of-tweets-november-6-november-13-2026?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/khamenei-posts-november-6-november-13-2026

---
Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.