# Knoxville: Nicolas Mejia vs Jack Kennedy: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "Knoxville: Nicolas Mejia vs Jack Kennedy". Knoxville: Nicolas Mejia vs Jack Kennedy leads at 61.5%. Next is Nicolas Mejia at 61%. $4K has traded across 13 outcomes on Polymarket and Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 16, 2026.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-09T15:43:20Z (12 min ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Nov 16, 2026
- Volume traded: $4K
- Venues: Polymarket, Kalshi
- Category: sports

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Polymarket | Kalshi | Gap between venues |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Knoxville: Nicolas Mejia vs Jack Kennedy | 61.5% | 61.5% | — | not on both |
| Nicolas Mejia | 61% | — | 61% | not on both |
| Knoxville: Nicolas Mejia vs Jack Kennedy | 57% | 57% | — | not on both |
| Knoxville: Nicolas Mejia vs Jack Kennedy | 56.5% | 56.5% | — | not on both |
| Completed Match | 53% | 53% | — | not on both |
| Knoxville: Nicolas Mejia vs Jack Kennedy | 50% | 50% | — | not on both |
| Knoxville: Nicolas Mejia vs Jack Kennedy | 49% | 49% | — | not on both |
| Knoxville: Nicolas Mejia vs Jack Kennedy | 44% | 44% | — | not on both |
| Knoxville: Nicolas Mejia vs Jack Kennedy | 42.5% | 42.5% | — | not on both |
| Knoxville: Nicolas Mejia vs Jack Kennedy | 42% | 42% | — | not on both |
| Jack Kennedy | 39% | — | 39% | not on both |
| Knoxville: Nicolas Mejia vs Jack Kennedy | 36% | 36% | — | not on both |
| Knoxville: Nicolas Mejia vs Jack Kennedy | 20.5% | 20.5% | — | not on both |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Polymarket: UMA optimistic oracle. Sources: [atptour.com](https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current).
- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [ATP](https://www.atptour.com/).

## Settlement rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Nicolas Mejia and Jack Kennedy in the Knoxville, originally scheduled for November 9, 2026 at 10:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Nicolas Mejia' if Nicolas Mejia advances against Jack Kennedy.

This market will resolve to 'Jack Kennedy' if Jack Kennedy advances against Nicolas Mejia.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/knoxville-nicolas-mejia-vs-jack-kennedy
- Trade on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/atp-mejia-kennedy-2026-11-09?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxatpchallengermatch?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/knoxville-nicolas-mejia-vs-jack-kennedy

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.