# Knoxville: Patrick Zahraj vs Sebastian Dominko: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "Knoxville: Patrick Zahraj vs Sebastian Dominko". Sebastian Dominko leads at 70%. Next is Knoxville: Patrick Zahraj vs Sebastian Dominko at 67%. $4K has traded across 12 outcomes on Kalshi and Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 15, 2026.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-08T20:50:13Z (1 d ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Nov 15, 2026
- Volume traded: $4K
- Venues: Polymarket, Kalshi
- Category: sports

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Polymarket | Kalshi | Gap between venues |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Sebastian Dominko | 70% | — | 70% | not on both |
| Knoxville: Patrick Zahraj vs Sebastian Dominko | 67% | 67% | — | not on both |
| Knoxville: Patrick Zahraj vs Sebastian Dominko | 60.5% | 60.5% | — | not on both |
| Completed Match | 55% | 55% | — | not on both |
| Knoxville: Patrick Zahraj vs Sebastian Dominko | 51.5% | 51.5% | — | not on both |
| Knoxville: Patrick Zahraj vs Sebastian Dominko | 50% | 50% | — | not on both |
| Knoxville: Patrick Zahraj vs Sebastian Dominko | 46.5% | 46.5% | — | not on both |
| Knoxville: Patrick Zahraj vs Sebastian Dominko | 44.5% | 44.5% | — | not on both |
| Knoxville: Patrick Zahraj vs Sebastian Dominko | 38.5% | 38.5% | — | not on both |
| Knoxville: Patrick Zahraj vs Sebastian Dominko | 31.5% | 31.5% | — | not on both |
| Patrick Zahraj | 31% | — | 31% | not on both |
| Knoxville: Patrick Zahraj vs Sebastian Dominko | 18% | 18% | — | not on both |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Polymarket: UMA optimistic oracle. Sources: [atptour.com](https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current).
- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [ATP](https://www.atptour.com/).

## Settlement rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Patrick Zahraj and Sebastian Dominko in the Knoxville, USA, Qualifying, originally scheduled for November 8, 2026 at 2:40PM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Patrick Zahraj' if Patrick Zahraj advances against Sebastian Dominko.

This market will resolve to 'Sebastian Dominko' if Sebastian Dominko advances against Patrick Zahraj.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/knoxville-patrick-zahraj-vs-sebastian-dominko
- Trade on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/atp-zahraj-dominko-2026-11-08?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxatpchallengermatch?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/knoxville-patrick-zahraj-vs-sebastian-dominko

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.