# KY-04 House election: Melissa Strange vote percent: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "KY-04 House election: Melissa Strange vote percent". At least 34% leads at 86%. Next is At least 36% at 66%. $2K has traded across 11 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 3, 2027.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-04T22:25:00Z (2 h ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Nov 3, 2027
- Volume traded: $2K
- Venues: Kalshi
- Category: politics

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Kalshi |
| --- | --- | --- |
| At least 34% | 86% | 86% |
| At least 36% | 66% | 66% |
| At least 40% | 63% | 63% |
| At least 42% | 56% | 56% |
| At least 28% | 55.5% | 55.5% |
| At least 30% | 55.5% | 55.5% |
| At least 32% | 55% | 55% |
| At least 44% | 51.5% | 51.5% |
| At least 38% | 49% | 49% |
| At least 46% | 7.5% | 7.5% |
| At least 48% | 6.5% | 6.5% |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [State Board of Elections, Frankfort, KY](https://elect.ky.gov/Pages/default.aspx).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/ky-04-house-election-melissa-strange-vote-percent
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvotegeneral?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/ky-04-house-election-melissa-strange-vote-percent

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.
