# La Liga Last Place Finisher: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "La Liga Last Place Finisher". Malaga leads at 32.1%. Next is Valencia at 8.4%. $1K has traded across 20 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Jun 7, 2027.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-10T07:53:05Z (1 d ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Jun 7, 2027
- Volume traded: $1K
- Venues: Kalshi
- Category: sports

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Kalshi |
| --- | --- | --- |
| Malaga | 32.1% | 46% |
| Valencia | 8.4% | 12% |
| Barcelona | 7.7% | 11% |
| Racing Santander | 7.7% | 11% |
| Real Madrid | 7% | 10% |
| Elche | 3.8% | 5.5% |
| Atletico Madrid | 3.5% | 5% |
| Levante | 3.5% | 5% |
| Athletic Bilbao | 2.8% | 4% |
| Osasuna | 2.8% | 4% |
| Alaves | 2.4% | 3.5% |
| Espanyol | 2.4% | 3.5% |
| Getafe | 2.4% | 3.5% |
| Rayo Vallecano | 2.4% | 3.5% |
| Celta Vigo | 2.1% | 3% |
| Deportivo De La Coruna | 2.1% | 3% |
| Betis | 1.8% | 2.5% |
| Real Sociedad | 1.7% | 2.5% |
| Sevilla | 1.7% | 2.5% |
| Villarreal | 1.7% | 2.5% |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume, with each venue's margin removed so outcomes add to 100%. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [Sky Sports](https://www.skysports.com), [ESPN](https://www.espn.com/), [CBS Sports](https://www.cbssports.com).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/la-liga-last-place-finisher
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxlaligalast?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/la-liga-last-place-finisher

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.