# Las Vegas Grand Prix Main Race: Top Constructor: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "Las Vegas Grand Prix Main Race: Top Constructor". Red Bull Racing leads at 38%. Next is Max Verstappen at 37.5%. $2K has traded across 34 outcomes on Polymarket and Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 29, 2026.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-15T19:42:41Z (8 min ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Nov 29, 2026
- Volume traded: $2K
- Venues: Polymarket, Kalshi
- Category: sports

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Polymarket | Kalshi | Gap between venues |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Red Bull Racing | 38% | — | 38% | not on both |
| Max Verstappen | 37.5% | 37.5% | — | not on both |
| Mercedes | 37% | — | 37% | not on both |
| Kimi Antonelli | 26.5% | 26.5% | — | not on both |
| McLaren | 20% | — | 20% | not on both |
| George Russell | 12.5% | 12.5% | — | not on both |
| Lando Norris | 11% | 11% | — | not on both |
| Ferrari | 10% | — | 10% | not on both |
| Charles Leclerc | 5% | 5% | — | not on both |
| Lewis Hamilton | 4.5% | 4.5% | — | not on both |
| Oscar Piastri | 3.3% | 3.3% | — | not on both |
| Alpine | 2% | — | 2% | not on both |
| Aston Martin | 2% | — | 2% | not on both |
| Audi | 2% | — | 2% | not on both |
| Haas | 2% | — | 2% | not on both |
| Isack Hadjar | 2% | 2% | — | not on both |
| Racing Bulls | 2% | — | 2% | not on both |
| Williams | 2% | — | 2% | not on both |
| Cadillac | 1% | — | 1% | not on both |
| Pierre Gasly | 0.6% | 0.6% | — | not on both |
| Alexander Albon | 0.5% | 0.5% | — | not on both |
| Arvid Lindblad | 0.5% | 0.5% | — | not on both |
| Carlos Sainz Jr. | 0.5% | 0.5% | — | not on both |
| Esteban Ocon | 0.5% | 0.5% | — | not on both |
| Fernando Alonso | 0.5% | 0.5% | — | not on both |
| Franco Colapinto | 0.5% | 0.5% | — | not on both |
| Gabriel Bortoleto | 0.5% | 0.5% | — | not on both |
| Lance Stroll | 0.5% | 0.5% | — | not on both |
| Liam Lawson | 0.5% | 0.5% | — | not on both |
| Nico Hulkenberg | 0.5% | 0.5% | — | not on both |
| Oliver Bearman | 0.5% | 0.5% | — | not on both |
| Sergio Perez | 0.5% | 0.5% | — | not on both |
| Valtteri Bottas | 0.5% | 0.5% | — | not on both |
| Yuki Tsunoda | 0.5% | 0.5% | — | not on both |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Polymarket: UMA optimistic oracle. Sources: [formula1.com](https://www.formula1.com/en/results/2026/races).
- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [FIA](https://www.fia.com).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/las-vegas-grand-prix-main-race-top-constructor
- Trade on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/f1-las-vegas-grand-prix-winner-2026-11-21?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxf1topconstructor?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/las-vegas-grand-prix-main-race-top-constructor

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.