# Las Vegas Grand Prix Qualifying Session: Pole Position: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "Las Vegas Grand Prix Qualifying Session: Pole Position". Max Verstappen leads at 30.2%. Next is Andrea Kimi Antonelli at 21.3%. $5K has traded across 22 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 23, 2026.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-10T04:26:05Z (1 d ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Nov 23, 2026
- Volume traded: $5K
- Venues: Kalshi
- Category: sports

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Kalshi |
| --- | --- | --- |
| Max Verstappen | 30.2% | 34% |
| Andrea Kimi Antonelli | 21.3% | 24% |
| Lando Norris | 18.7% | 21% |
| George Russell | 10.7% | 12% |
| Charles Leclerc | 5.3% | 6% |
| Lewis Hamilton | 5.3% | 6% |
| Isack Hadjar | 0.9% | 1% |
| Oscar Piastri | 0.9% | 1% |
| Sergio Perez | 0.9% | 1% |
| Alexander Albon | 0.5% | 0.5% |
| Arvid Lindblad | 0.5% | 0.5% |
| Carlos Sainz Jr. | 0.5% | 0.5% |
| Fernando Alonso | 0.5% | 0.5% |
| Franco Colapinto | 0.5% | 0.5% |
| Gabriel Bortoleto | 0.5% | 0.5% |
| Lance Stroll | 0.4% | 0.5% |
| Liam Lawson | 0.4% | 0.5% |
| Nico Hulkenberg | 0.4% | 0.5% |
| Oliver Bearman | 0.4% | 0.5% |
| Pierre Gasly | 0.4% | 0.5% |
| Ryo Hirakawa | 0.4% | 0.5% |
| Valtteri Bottas | 0.4% | 0.5% |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume, with each venue's margin removed so outcomes add to 100%. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [FIA](https://www.fia.com).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/las-vegas-grand-prix-qualifying-session-pole-position
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxf1pole?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/las-vegas-grand-prix-qualifying-session-pole-position

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.