# Latin Grammy Awards · Best New Artist: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "Latin Grammy Awards · Best New Artist". ARIA VEGA leads at 99%. Next is Ella Langley at 81.7%. $65K has traded across 49 outcomes on Polymarket and Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 13, 2027.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-13T02:50:40Z (10 min ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Nov 13, 2027
- Volume traded: $65K
- Venues: Polymarket, Kalshi
- Category: culture

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Polymarket | Kalshi | Gap between venues |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| ARIA VEGA | 99% | — | 99% | not on both |
| Ella Langley | 81.7% | 65.5% | — | not on both |
| Malcolm Todd | 73.5% | 73.5% | — | not on both |
| Don Toliver | 72.5% | 72.5% | — | not on both |
| Audrey Hobert | 62% | 62% | — | not on both |
| Role Model | 53.5% | 53.5% | — | not on both |
| Slayyyter | 52.3% | 4.5% | — | not on both |
| SIENNA SPIRO | 40.7% | 21.5% | — | not on both |
| Stella Lefty | 26.5% | 26.5% | — | not on both |
| Geese | 24.4% | 1.8% | — | not on both |
| Loulu Gilberto | 22% | — | 22% | not on both |
| Macario Martínez | 14% | — | 14% | not on both |
| underscores | 10.2% | 10.2% | — | not on both |
| Zeca Veloso | 8% | — | 8% | not on both |
| Arath Herce | 7% | — | 7% | not on both |
| maye | 7% | — | 7% | not on both |
| Sofia Monroy | 7% | — | 7% | not on both |
| Ken Carson | 6% | 6% | — | not on both |
| Bella Kay | 4.2% | 0.9% | — | not on both |
| Delilah | 4% | — | 4% | not on both |
| Kendall Peña | 4% | — | 4% | not on both |
| Dora Sanches | 3% | — | 3% | not on both |
| FABIAN | 3% | — | 3% | not on both |
| SAILORR | 2.9% | 0.4% | — | not on both |
| The Beaches | 2.9% | 0.6% | — | not on both |
| Renee Rapp | 2.2% | 0.8% | — | not on both |
| Magdalena Bay | 2.1% | 0.5% | — | not on both |
| BigXthaPlug | 2.1% | 0.5% | — | not on both |
| Tie | 2% | — | 2% | not on both |
| Loe Shimmy | 1.9% | 0.4% | — | not on both |
| EsDeeKid | 1.7% | 0.5% | — | not on both |
| Ninajirachi | 1.6% | 0.5% | — | not on both |
| Sasha Keable | 1.6% | 0.1% | — | not on both |
| CMAT | 1.5% | 1.5% | — | not on both |
| Mk.gee | 1.2% | 0.4% | — | not on both |
| Jessie Murph | 1.1% | 0.4% | — | not on both |
| JADE | 1.1% | 0.4% | — | not on both |
| Black Country, New Road | 0.8% | 0.8% | — | not on both |
| Adéla | 0.7% | 0.7% | — | not on both |
| PARTYOF2 | 0.5% | 0.5% | — | not on both |

Showing the top 40 of 49 outcomes. 
"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Polymarket: UMA optimistic oracle.
- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [The Latin Recording Academy](https://www.latingrammy.com/en).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/latin-grammy-awards-best-new-artist
- Trade on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/grammys-2027-bna-nominations-20261116?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxlgram?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/latin-grammy-awards-best-new-artist

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.