# Liberty vs New Mexico St.: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "Liberty vs New Mexico St.". Liberty leads at 87.1%. Next is Spread: Liberty (-0.5) at 87%. $11K has traded across 231 outcomes on Kalshi and Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 9, 2026.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-04T19:59:00Z (2 h ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Nov 9, 2026
- Volume traded: $11K
- Venues: Polymarket, Kalshi
- Category: sports

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Polymarket | Kalshi | Gap between venues |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Liberty | 87.1% | 87.5% | 87% | 0.5 pts |
| Spread: Liberty (-0.5) | 87% | 87% | — | not on both |
| Spread: Liberty (-1.5) | 86.5% | 86.5% | — | not on both |
| Spread: Liberty (-2.5) | 84.5% | 84.5% | — | not on both |
| Spread: Liberty (-3.5) | 82.5% | 82.5% | — | not on both |
| Spread: Liberty (-4.5) | 80% | 80% | — | not on both |
| Spread: Liberty (-5.5) | 78.5% | 78.5% | — | not on both |
| Spread: Liberty (-6.5) | 76% | 76% | — | not on both |
| Spread: Liberty (-7.5) | 71.5% | 71.5% | — | not on both |
| O/U 39.5 | 70% | 70% | — | not on both |
| Spread -9.5 | 68.5% | 68.5% | — | not on both |
| Spread: Liberty (-8.5) | 66.5% | 66.5% | — | not on both |
| O/U 35.5 | 65.5% | 65.5% | — | not on both |
| Spread: Liberty (-10.5) | 64.5% | 64.5% | — | not on both |
| O/U 37.5 | 64% | 64% | — | not on both |
| O/U 41.5 | 63% | 63% | — | not on both |
| O/U 43.5 | 62.5% | 62.5% | — | not on both |
| Spread -11.5 | 62.5% | 62.5% | — | not on both |
| Spread -12.5 | 61.5% | 61.5% | — | not on both |
| Spread: Liberty (-13.5) | 58% | 58% | — | not on both |
| Spread: Liberty (-14.5) | 55% | 55% | — | not on both |
| Spread -15.5 | 54% | 54% | — | not on both |
| Liberty O/U 23.5 | 53.5% | 53.5% | — | not on both |
| Liberty O/U 20.5 | 53% | 53% | — | not on both |
| O/U 45.5 | 53% | 53% | — | not on both |
| Spread: Liberty (-16.5) | 52.5% | 52.5% | — | not on both |
| 1H O/U 24.5 | 50.5% | 50.5% | — | not on both |
| 1H O/U 27.5 | 50.5% | 50.5% | — | not on both |
| 1H O/U 30.5 | 50.5% | 50.5% | — | not on both |
| 2H O/U 33.5 | 50.5% | 50.5% | — | not on both |
| Liberty 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50.5% | 50.5% | — | not on both |
| Liberty O/U 26.5 | 50.5% | 50.5% | — | not on both |
| Liberty O/U 29.5 | 50.5% | 50.5% | — | not on both |
| Liberty Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50.5% | 50.5% | — | not on both |
| Liberty Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50.5% | 50.5% | — | not on both |
| Liberty Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50.5% | 50.5% | — | not on both |
| Liberty Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50.5% | 50.5% | — | not on both |
| Liberty Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50.5% | 50.5% | — | not on both |
| Liberty Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50.5% | 50.5% | — | not on both |
| Liberty Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50.5% | 50.5% | — | not on both |

Showing the top 40 of 231 outcomes. 
"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Polymarket: UMA optimistic oracle. Sources: [ncaa.com](https://www.ncaa.com/).
- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [Kalshi using information originating from the NCAA](https://www.ncaa.com/sports/football/fbs), [ESPN](https://www.espn.com).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/liberty-vs-new-mexico-st
- Trade on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/cfb-librty-nmxst-2026-11-07?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxncaafgame?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/liberty-vs-new-mexico-st

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.