# Liga Profesional (Argentina): 2026 Winner: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "Liga Profesional (Argentina): 2026 Winner". Argentinos Juniors leads at 49.5%. Next is Boca Juniors at 49.5%. $2K has traded across 19 outcomes on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Jan 1, 2027.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-05T12:48:00Z (5 min ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Jan 1, 2027
- Volume traded: $2K
- Venues: Polymarket
- Category: sports

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Polymarket |
| --- | --- | --- |
| Argentinos Juniors | 49.5% | 49.5% |
| Boca Juniors | 49.5% | 49.5% |
| Rosario Central | 49.5% | 49.5% |
| Barracas Central | 0.5% | 0.5% |
| Belgrano | 0.5% | 0.5% |
| Defensa y Justicia | 0.5% | 0.5% |
| Gimnasia y Esgrima (LP) | 0.5% | 0.5% |
| Independiente Rivadavia | 0.5% | 0.5% |
| Instituto | 0.5% | 0.5% |
| Lanús | 0.5% | 0.5% |
| River Plate | 0.5% | 0.5% |
| Vélez Sarsfield | 0.5% | 0.5% |
| Estudiantes (LP) | 0.5% | 0.5% |
| Gimnasia y Esgrima (M) | 0.5% | 0.5% |
| Huracán | 0.5% | 0.5% |
| Independiente | 0.5% | 0.5% |
| San Lorenzo | 0.5% | 0.5% |
| Sarmiento (J) | 0.5% | 0.5% |
| Unión | 0.5% | 0.5% |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Polymarket: UMA optimistic oracle. Sources: [afa.com.ar](https://www.afa.com.ar/es/liga-profesional-de-futbol).

## Settlement rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed club is determined as the champion of the Liga Profesional (Argentina) for the 2026 season. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed participant to be named as the champion of Liga Profesional (Argentina) for the 2026 season per the rules of Liga Profesional (Argentina) (e.g., the participant is eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No".

If multiple teams are declared winners, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically.

If this event is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or a champion has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source will be official information from the Liga Profesional (Argentina); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/liga-profesional-argentina-2026-winner
- Trade on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/2026-soccer-liga-profesional-argentina-winner?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/liga-profesional-argentina-2026-winner

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.