# Ligue 1 Top 4 Finishers: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "Ligue 1 Top 4 Finishers". Barcelona leads at 98.1%. Next is Bayern Munich at 98%. $128K has traded across 60 outcomes on Polymarket and Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Jun 13, 2027.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-12T22:48:25Z (13 min ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Jun 13, 2027
- Volume traded: $128K
- Venues: Polymarket, Kalshi
- Category: sports

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Polymarket | Kalshi | Gap between venues |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Barcelona | 98.1% | 98.1% | — | not on both |
| Bayern Munich | 98% | 98% | — | not on both |
| PSG | 96% | — | 96% | not on both |
| Paris Saint-Germain | 95.3% | 95.3% | — | not on both |
| Borussia Dortmund | 88.5% | 88.5% | — | not on both |
| Real Madrid | 87.5% | 87.5% | — | not on both |
| Bayer Leverkusen | 69% | 69% | — | not on both |
| RB Leipzig | 67% | 67% | — | not on both |
| Rennes | 55.5% | 55.5% | — | not on both |
| Lille | 47% | 46% | 50% | 4.0 pts |
| Monaco | 45.3% | 43.5% | 50% | 6.5 pts |
| Lyon | 43.5% | 47% | 33% | 14.0 pts |
| Paris FC | 40.8% | 45.5% | 36% | 9.5 pts |
| Stade Rennes | 40% | — | 40% | not on both |
| SC Freiburg | 37% | 37% | — | not on both |
| Marseille | 30.1% | 29.5% | 32% | 2.5 pts |
| VfB Stuttgart | 25.5% | 25.5% | — | not on both |
| Lens | 22.6% | 25.5% | 14% | 11.5 pts |
| Brest | 16.9% | 16.9% | — | not on both |
| Mainz 05 | 15.5% | 15.5% | — | not on both |
| Atlético Madrid | 14.5% | 14.5% | — | not on both |
| TSG Hoffenheim | 12.5% | 12.5% | — | not on both |
| Stade Brest 29 | 11% | — | 11% | not on both |
| Werder Bremen | 10.6% | 10.6% | — | not on both |
| Toulouse | 10.3% | 14% | 6.5% | 7.5 pts |
| Lorient | 6.5% | 8% | 5% | 2.9 pts |
| Le Havre | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7% | 0.8 pts |
| FC Augsburg | 6.4% | 6.4% | — | not on both |
| Eintracht Frankfurt | 6.3% | 6.3% | — | not on both |
| SV Elversberg | 6.2% | 6.2% | — | not on both |
| Strasbourg | 6.2% | 6.2% | — | not on both |
| Nice | 6% | 2.4% | 17% | 14.7 pts |
| 1. FC Köln | 5.6% | 5.6% | — | not on both |
| Angers | 4.5% | 3.7% | 7% | 3.3 pts |
| Hamburger SV | 4.3% | 4.3% | — | not on both |
| Auxerre | 4.3% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 1.6 pts |
| Rayo Vallecano | 3.8% | 3.8% | — | not on both |
| Troyes | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 0.7 pts |
| Schalke 04 | 3.2% | 3.2% | — | not on both |
| Borussia Mönchengladbach | 3.1% | 3.1% | — | not on both |

Showing the top 40 of 60 outcomes. 
"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Polymarket: UMA optimistic oracle.
- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [Sky Sports](https://www.skysports.com), [ESPN](https://www.espn.com/), [CBS Sports](https://www.cbssports.com).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/ligue-1-top-4-finishers-1
- Trade on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/bundesliga-top-4-finishers-2026-27?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxligue1top?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/ligue-1-top-4-finishers-1

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.