# Local Election Combo: Hsinchu City and Hsinchu County: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "Local Election Combo: Hsinchu City and Hsinchu County". Kao, Hsu leads at 40.9%. Next is Kao, Cheng at 37.8%. $1K has traded across 4 outcomes on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 29, 2026.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-05T14:59:00Z (1 h ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Nov 29, 2026
- Volume traded: $1K
- Venues: Polymarket
- Category: politics

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Polymarket |
| --- | --- | --- |
| Kao, Hsu | 40.9% | 32% |
| Kao, Cheng | 37.8% | 29.5% |
| Chuang, Cheng | 17.3% | 13.5% |
| Chuang, Hsu | 4% | 3.2% |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume, with each venue's margin removed so outcomes add to 100%. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Polymarket: UMA optimistic oracle.

## Settlement rules

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.

This market will resolve to the single listed outcome that matches both of the following: the winner of the Hsinchu City mayoral election and the winner of the Hsinchu County magistrate election.

For full rules for the Hsinchu City mayoral election, click here: https://polymarket.com/event/hsinchu-city-mayor-election-winner-20260813135716400

For full rules for the Hsinchu County magistrate election, click here: https://polymarket.com/event/hsinchu-county-magistrate-election-winner-20260813135716300

Additional options may be added to this market between market creation and resolution.

In the event that any constituent market resolves to "Other," this market will resolve to "Other."

This market will resolve according to the sources named in the two markets linked above.

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/local-election-combo-hsinchu-city-and-hsinchu-county
- Trade on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/local-election-combo-hsinchu-city-and-hsinchu-county?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/local-election-combo-hsinchu-city-and-hsinchu-county

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.