# LoL: Ground Zero Gaming vs Frank Esports (BO5) - LCP Promotion Playoffs: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "LoL: Ground Zero Gaming vs Frank Esports (BO5) - LCP Promotion Playoffs". Match Winner leads at 76.5%. Next is Game 2 Winner at 58%. $1K has traded across 34 outcomes on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 11, 2026.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-04T20:08:00Z (2 h ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Nov 11, 2026
- Volume traded: $1K
- Venues: Polymarket
- Category: sports

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Polymarket |
| --- | --- | --- |
| Match Winner | 76.5% | 76.5% |
| Game 2 Winner | 58% | 58% |
| Game 1: Any Player Penta Kill? | 50% | 50% |
| Game 1: Any Player Quadra Kill? | 50% | 50% |
| Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors? | 50% | 50% |
| Game 1: Both Teams Slay a Dragon? | 50% | 50% |
| Game 1: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor? | 50% | 50% |
| Game 2: Any Player Penta Kill? | 50% | 50% |
| Game 2: Any Player Quadra Kill? | 50% | 50% |
| Game 2: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors? | 50% | 50% |
| Game 2: Both Teams Slay a Dragon? | 50% | 50% |
| Game 2: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor? | 50% | 50% |
| Game 3 Winner | 50% | 50% |
| Game 3: Any Player Penta Kill? | 50% | 50% |
| Game 3: Any Player Quadra Kill? | 50% | 50% |
| Game 3: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors? | 50% | 50% |
| Game 3: Both Teams Slay a Dragon? | 50% | 50% |
| Game 3: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor? | 50% | 50% |
| Game 4 Winner | 50% | 50% |
| Game 4: Any Player Penta Kill? | 50% | 50% |
| Game 4: Any Player Quadra Kill? | 50% | 50% |
| Game 4: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors? | 50% | 50% |
| Game 4: Both Teams Slay a Dragon? | 50% | 50% |
| Game 4: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor? | 50% | 50% |
| Game 5: Any Player Penta Kill? | 50% | 50% |
| Game 5: Any Player Quadra Kill? | 50% | 50% |
| Game 5: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors? | 50% | 50% |
| Game 5: Both Teams Slay a Dragon? | 50% | 50% |
| Game 5: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor? | 50% | 50% |
| Game Handicap: GZ (-1.5) vs Frank Esports (+1.5) | 50% | 50% |
| Game Handicap: GZ (-2.5) vs Frank Esports (+2.5) | 50% | 50% |
| O/U 4.5 Games | 49% | 49% |
| Game 1 Winner | 44.5% | 44.5% |
| O/U 3.5 Games | 39.5% | 39.5% |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Polymarket: UMA optimistic oracle. Sources: [twitch.tv](https://www.twitch.tv/lolpacificen).

## Settlement rules

This market refers to the LoL Regional Merit match between Ground Zero Gaming and Frank Esports in the LCP Promotion Playoffs, initially scheduled for November 11, 2026 at 4:00 AM ET.

This market will resolve to "Ground Zero Gaming" if Ground Zero Gaming win the match against Frank Esports.

This market will resolve to "Frank Esports" if Frank Esports win the match against Ground Zero Gaming.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before November 25, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of November 11, 2026 at 4:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. 

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. 

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/lol-ground-zero-gaming-vs-frank-esports-bo5-lcp-promotion-playoffs
- Trade on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/lol-gz-fnk-2026-11-11?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/lol-ground-zero-gaming-vs-frank-esports-bo5-lcp-promotion-playoffs

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.
