# Los Angeles mayoral election: voter turnout: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "Los Angeles mayoral election: voter turnout". Above 1.1M leads at 98%. Next is Above 900K at 95%. $4K has traded across 12 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 3, 2027.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-04T21:17:00Z (1 h ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Nov 3, 2027
- Volume traded: $4K
- Venues: Kalshi
- Category: politics

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Kalshi |
| --- | --- | --- |
| Above 1.1M | 98% | 98% |
| Above 900K | 95% | 95% |
| Above 950K | 87% | 87% |
| Above 1.05M | 75% | 75% |
| Above 1.15M | 46% | 46% |
| Above 1.0M | 44% | 44% |
| Above 1.4M | 20% | 20% |
| Above 1.25M | 20% | 20% |
| Above 1.45M | 20% | 20% |
| Above 1.2M | 17% | 17% |
| Above 1.35M | 17% | 17% |
| Above 1.3M | 16% | 16% |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [City of Los Angeles](https://lacity.gov/).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/los-angeles-mayoral-election-voter-turnout
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxusturnout?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/los-angeles-mayoral-election-voter-turnout

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.