# Louisiana Republican Senate nominee? (2028): prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "Louisiana Republican Senate nominee? (2028)". John Kennedy leads at 70.4%. Next is John Fleming at 5.9%. $3K has traded across 7 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 7, 2028.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-12T22:49:25Z (12 min ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Nov 7, 2028
- Volume traded: $3K
- Venues: Kalshi
- Category: politics

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Kalshi |
| --- | --- | --- |
| John Kennedy | 70.4% | 65% |
| John Fleming | 5.9% | 5.5% |
| Blake Miguez | 5.2% | 4.8% |
| Bill Cassidy | 4.7% | 4.4% |
| Liz Murrill | 4.7% | 4.4% |
| Clay Higgins | 4.6% | 4.2% |
| Garret Graves | 4.5% | 4.2% |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume, with each venue's margin removed so outcomes add to 100%. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [Republican Party of Louisiana](https://lagop.com/), [Associated Press](https://apnews.com), [Decision Desk HQ](https://decisiondeskhq.com/results/).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/louisiana-republican-senate-nominee-2028
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxsenatenom?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/louisiana-republican-senate-nominee-2028

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.