# Luca Nardi vs Alexander Donski: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "Luca Nardi vs Alexander Donski". Luca Nardi leads at 84.2%. Next is Alexander Donski at 15.8%. $2K has traded across 2 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 22, 2026.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-08T14:40:00Z (10 min ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Nov 22, 2026
- Volume traded: $2K
- Venues: Kalshi
- Category: sports

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Kalshi |
| --- | --- | --- |
| Luca Nardi | 84.2% | 85% |
| Alexander Donski | 15.8% | 16% |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume, with each venue's margin removed so outcomes add to 100%. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [ATP](https://www.atptour.com/).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/luca-nardi-vs-alexander-donski
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxatpchallengermatch?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/luca-nardi-vs-alexander-donski

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.