# M15 San Gregorio di Catania: Giannicola Misasi vs Mariano Tammaro: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "M15 San Gregorio di Catania: Giannicola Misasi vs Mariano Tammaro". M15 San Gregorio di Catania: Giannicola Misasi vs Mariano Tammaro leads at 50.5%. Next is M15 San Gregorio di Catania: Giannicola Misasi vs Mariano Tammaro at 50%. $6K has traded across 3 outcomes on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 11, 2026.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-05T00:41:00Z (2 min ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Nov 11, 2026
- Volume traded: $6K
- Venues: Polymarket
- Category: sports

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Polymarket |
| --- | --- | --- |
| M15 San Gregorio di Catania: Giannicola Misasi vs Mariano Tammaro | 50.5% | 50.5% |
| M15 San Gregorio di Catania: Giannicola Misasi vs Mariano Tammaro | 50% | 50% |
| M15 San Gregorio di Catania: Giannicola Misasi vs Mariano Tammaro | 50% | 50% |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Polymarket: UMA optimistic oracle. Sources: [itftennis.com](https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/).

## Settlement rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Giannicola Misasi and Mariano Tammaro in the M15 San Gregorio di Catania, Main Draw, originally scheduled for November 4, 2026 at 6:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Giannicola Misasi' if Giannicola Misasi advances against Mariano Tammaro.

This market will resolve to 'Mariano Tammaro' if Mariano Tammaro advances against Giannicola Misasi.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/m15-san-gregorio-di-catania-giannicola-misasi-vs-mariano-tammaro
- Trade on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/itf-misasi1-tammar1-2026-11-04?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/m15-san-gregorio-di-catania-giannicola-misasi-vs-mariano-tammaro

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.