# M15 Sharm ElSheikh: Yi Yuan vs Saba Purtseladze: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "M15 Sharm ElSheikh: Yi Yuan vs Saba Purtseladze". M15 Sharm ElSheikh: Yi Yuan vs Saba Purtseladze leads at 99.9%. Next is M15 Sharm ElSheikh: Yi Yuan vs Saba Purtseladze at 0.1%. $5K has traded across 2 outcomes on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 11, 2026.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-04T16:18:00Z (5 h ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Nov 11, 2026
- Volume traded: $5K
- Venues: Polymarket
- Category: sports

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Polymarket |
| --- | --- | --- |
| M15 Sharm ElSheikh: Yi Yuan vs Saba Purtseladze | 99.9% | 99.5% |
| M15 Sharm ElSheikh: Yi Yuan vs Saba Purtseladze | 0.1% | 0.1% |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume, with each venue's margin removed so outcomes add to 100%. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Polymarket: UMA optimistic oracle. Sources: [itftennis.com](https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/).

## Settlement rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Yi Yuan and Saba Purtseladze in the M15 Sharm ElSheikh, Main Draw, originally scheduled for November 4, 2026 at 6:30AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Yi Yuan' if Yi Yuan advances against Saba Purtseladze.

This market will resolve to 'Saba Purtseladze' if Saba Purtseladze advances against Yi Yuan.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/m15-sharm-elsheikh-yi-yuan-vs-saba-purtseladze
- Trade on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/itf-yuan1-purtse1-2026-11-04?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/m15-sharm-elsheikh-yi-yuan-vs-saba-purtseladze

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.