# Macy Chiasson vs. Beatriz Mesquita: Method of Finish: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "Macy Chiasson vs. Beatriz Mesquita: Method of Finish". Submission leads at 47%. Next is Decision at 30%. $2K has traded across 4 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 28, 2026.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-13T21:43:31Z (8 min ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Nov 28, 2026
- Volume traded: $2K
- Venues: Kalshi
- Category: sports

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Kalshi |
| --- | --- | --- |
| Submission | 47% | 47% |
| Decision | 30% | 30% |
| KO/TKO/DQ | 22% | 22% |
| Draw/No Contest | 1% | 1% |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume, with each venue's margin removed so outcomes add to 100%. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [ESPN](https://www.espn.com), [Fox Sports](https://www.foxsports.com), [Paramount+](https://www.paramountplus.com/home/).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/macy-chiasson-vs-beatriz-mesquita-method-of-finish
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxufcmof?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/macy-chiasson-vs-beatriz-mesquita-method-of-finish

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.