# Macy Chiasson vs. Beatriz Mesquita: Round of Victory: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "Macy Chiasson vs. Beatriz Mesquita: Round of Victory". Decision / Draw / No Contest leads at 31.1%. Next is Beatriz Mesquita to win in Round 1 at 28.5%. $1K has traded across 7 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 28, 2026.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-13T09:18:40Z (17 min ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Nov 28, 2026
- Volume traded: $1K
- Venues: Kalshi
- Category: sports

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Kalshi |
| --- | --- | --- |
| Decision / Draw / No Contest | 31.1% | 30% |
| Beatriz Mesquita to win in Round 1 | 28.5% | 27.5% |
| Beatriz Mesquita to win in Round 2 | 15.5% | 15% |
| Beatriz Mesquita to win in Round 3 | 8.8% | 8.5% |
| Macy Chiasson to win in Round 1 | 6.7% | 6.5% |
| Macy Chiasson to win in Round 2 | 5.2% | 5% |
| Macy Chiasson to win in Round 3 | 4.2% | 4% |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume, with each venue's margin removed so outcomes add to 100%. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [ESPN](https://www.espn.com), [Fox Sports](https://www.foxsports.com), [Paramount+](https://www.paramountplus.com/home/).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/macy-chiasson-vs-beatriz-mesquita-round-of-victory
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxufcvicround?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/macy-chiasson-vs-beatriz-mesquita-round-of-victory

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.