# Magdalena Andersson out as Social Democrats leader?: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "Magdalena Andersson out as Social Democrats leader?". Before Jan 1, 2028 leads at 45.5%. Next is Before Jul 1, 2027 at 39%. $2K has traded across 3 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Jan 1, 2028.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-13T22:47:31Z (9 min ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Jan 1, 2028
- Volume traded: $2K
- Venues: Kalshi
- Category: politics

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Kalshi |
| --- | --- | --- |
| Before Jan 1, 2028 | 45.5% | 45.5% |
| Before Jul 1, 2027 | 39% | 39% |
| Before Jan 1, 2027 | 36% | 36% |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [Swedish Social Democratic Party](https://www.socialdemokraterna.se/).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/magdalena-andersson-out-as-social-democrats-leader
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmanderssonout?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/magdalena-andersson-out-as-social-democrats-leader

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.