# Manchester United vs Aston Villa: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "Manchester United vs Aston Villa". Manchester United leads at 44.7%. Next is Aston Villa at 29.3%. $40K has traded across 3 outcomes on Kalshi and Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 10, 2026.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-04T20:06:00Z (1 h ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Nov 10, 2026
- Volume traded: $40K
- Venues: Polymarket, Kalshi
- Category: sports

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Polymarket | Kalshi | Gap between venues |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Manchester United | 44.7% | 44% | 45% | 1.0 pts |
| Aston Villa | 29.3% | 30% | 29% | 1.0 pts |
| Draw | 26% | 26% | 26% | 0.0 pts |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume, with each venue's margin removed so outcomes add to 100%. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Polymarket: UMA optimistic oracle. Sources: [premierleague.com](https://www.premierleague.com/).
- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [ESPN](https://www.espn.com/), [Fox Sports](https://www.foxsports.com/).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/manchester-united-vs-aston-villa-1
- Trade on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/epl-mun-ast-2026-11-08?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxeplgame?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/manchester-united-vs-aston-villa-1

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.