# Marco Rubio announces departure as Secretary of State?: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "Marco Rubio announces departure as Secretary of State?". Before Jan 1, 2029 leads at 88%. Next is Before Jul 1, 2028 at 81%. $1K has traded across 7 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Jan 1, 2029.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-05T00:54:00Z (7 min ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Jan 1, 2029
- Volume traded: $1K
- Venues: Kalshi
- Category: politics

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Kalshi |
| --- | --- | --- |
| Before Jan 1, 2029 | 88% | 88% |
| Before Jul 1, 2028 | 81% | 81% |
| Before Jan 1, 2028 | 73% | 73% |
| Before Oct 1, 2027 | 66% | 66% |
| Before Jul 1, 2027 | 60% | 60% |
| Before Apr 1, 2027 | 50% | 50% |
| Before Jan 1, 2027 | 30% | 30% |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [Marco Rubio](https://x.com/SecRubio), [The Wall Street Journal](https://www.wsj.com/), [Bloomberg News](https://www.bloomberg.com/news).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/marco-rubio-announces-departure-as-secretary-of-state
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxrubioannounceout?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/marco-rubio-announces-departure-as-secretary-of-state

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.