# Marco Rubio out as Secretary of State by...?: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "Marco Rubio out as Secretary of State by...?". March 31, 2027 leads at 24.5%. Next is December 31, 2026 at 11%. $238K has traded across 4 outcomes on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 16, 2026.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-09T11:23:20Z (10 min ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Nov 16, 2026
- Volume traded: $238K
- Venues: Polymarket
- Category: politics

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Polymarket |
| --- | --- | --- |
| March 31, 2027 | 24.5% | 24.5% |
| December 31, 2026 | 11% | 11% |
| November 30, 2026 | 4% | 4% |
| November 15, 2026 | 1.3% | 1.3% |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Polymarket: UMA optimistic oracle.

## Settlement rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Marco Rubio ceases to be U.S. Secretary of State for any period of time between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Marco Rubio's resignation/removal by this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Marco Rubio and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/marco-rubio-out-as-secretary-of-state-by
- Trade on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/marco-rubio-out-as-secretary-of-state-byptptpt?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/marco-rubio-out-as-secretary-of-state-by

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.