# Marcondes vs Ugo Carabelli: prediction market odds

> Final prediction market prices for "Marcondes vs Ugo Carabelli". Completed Match last traded at 100%. Next is Costa do Sauipe: Igor Ribeiro Marcondes vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Match O/U 21.5 at 100%. $8K has traded across 10 outcomes on Polymarket and Kalshi. The market closed on Nov 18, 2026.

- Status: Trading has ended; prices are final
- Prices updated: 2026-11-04T23:46:00Z (5 min ago)
- Closed: Nov 18, 2026
- Volume traded: $8K
- Venues: Polymarket, Kalshi
- Category: sports

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Polymarket | Kalshi | Gap between venues |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Completed Match | 100% | 100% | — | not on both |
| Costa do Sauipe: Igor Ribeiro Marcondes vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Match O/U 21.5 | 100% | 100% | — | not on both |
| Costa do Sauipe: Igor Ribeiro Marcondes vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Match O/U 21.5 | 100% | 100% | — | not on both |
| Costa do Sauipe: Igor Ribeiro Marcondes vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Match O/U 21.5 | 100% | 100% | — | not on both |
| Costa do Sauipe: Igor Ribeiro Marcondes vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Match O/U 21.5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | — | not on both |
| Costa do Sauipe: Igor Ribeiro Marcondes vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Match O/U 21.5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | — | not on both |
| Costa do Sauipe: Igor Ribeiro Marcondes vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Match O/U 21.5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | — | not on both |
| Costa do Sauipe: Igor Ribeiro Marcondes vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Match O/U 21.5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | — | not on both |
| Costa do Sauipe: Igor Ribeiro Marcondes vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Match O/U 21.5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | — | not on both |
| Costa do Sauipe: Igor Ribeiro Marcondes vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Match O/U 21.5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | — | not on both |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Polymarket: UMA optimistic oracle. Sources: [atptour.com](https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current).
- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [ATP](https://www.atptour.com/).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/marcondes-vs-ugo-carabelli
- Trade on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/atp-marcond-carabel-2026-11-04?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxatpchallengermatch?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/marcondes-vs-ugo-carabelli

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.